LAW 21
PLAY A SUCKER TO CATCH A SUCKER—SEEM DUMBER THAN
YOUR MARK
JUDGMENT
No one likes feeling stupider than the next
person. The trick, then, is to make your victims feel smart—and not
just smart, but smarter than you are. Once convinced of this, they
will never suspect that you may have ulterior motives.
In the winter of 1872, the U.S. financier Asbury
Harpending was visiting London when he received a cable: A diamond
mine had been discovered in the American West. The cable came from
a reliable source—William Ralston, owner of the Bank of
California—but Harpending nevertheless took it as a practical joke,
probably inspired by the recent discovery of huge diamond mines in
South Africa. True, when reports had first come in of gold being
discovered in the western United States, everyone had been
skeptical, and those had turned out to be true. But a diamond mine
in the West! Harpending showed the cable to his fellow financier
Baron Rothschild (one of the richest men in the world), saying it
must be a joke. The baron, however, replied, “Don’t be too sure
about that. America is a very large country. It has furnished the
world with many surprises already. Perhaps it has others in store.”
Harpending promptly took the first ship back to the States.
Now, there is nothing of which a man is prouder
than of interlecutal ability, for it is this that gives him his
commanding place in the animal world. It is an exceedingly rash
thing to ter anyone see that you are decidedly superior to him in
this respect, and to let other people see it too.... hence, white
rank and riches may always reckon upon deferential treatment in
society, that is something which intellectual ability can
never expect To be ignorea is the greatest favour shown to it; and
if people notice it at all, it is because they regard it us a piece
of imperinence, or else as something to which its possessor has no
legitimate right, and upon which he dares to pride himself; and in
retaliation and revenge for his conduct, people secretly try and
humiliare him in some other way; unit if they wait to ao this, it
is only for a futing opporunity. A man may be as humble as possible
in his demeanour and yet hardly ever get people to overlook his
crime in standing intellectually above them. In the Garden of
Roses, Sadi makes the remark: “You should know that foolish
people are a hundredfold more averse to meeting the wise than the
wise are indisposed for the company of the foolish. ”
On the other hand, it is a real recommendation
to be stupid. For just as warmth is agreeable to the body, so it
does the mind good to feel its superiority; and a man will seek
company likely to give him this feeling, as instinctively as he
will approach the fireplace or walk in the sun if he wants to get
warm. But this means that he will be disliked on account of his
superiority; and if a man is to be liked, he must really be
inferior in point of intellect.
ARTHUR SCHOPENHAUER, 1788-1860
When Harpending reached San Francisco, there was an
excitement in the air recalling the Gold Rush days of the late
1840s. Two crusty prospectors named Philip Arnold and John Slack
had been the ones to find the diamond mine. They had not divulged
its location, in Wyoming, but had led a highly respected mining
expert to it several weeks back, taking a circular route so he
could not guess his whereabouts. Once there, the expert had watched
as the miners dug up diamonds. Back in San Francisco the expert had
taken the gems to various jewelers, one of whom had estimated their
worth at $1.5 million.
Harpending and Ralston now asked Arnold and Slack
to accompany them back to New York, where the jeweler Charles
Tiffany would verify the original estimates. The prospectors
responded uneasily—they smelled a trap: How could they trust these
city slickers? What if Tiffany and the financiers managed to steal
the whole mine out from under them? Ralston tried to allay their
fears by giving them $100,000 and placing another $300,000 in
escrow for them. If the deal went through, they would be paid an
additional $300,000. The miners agreed.
The little group traveled to New York, where a
meeting was held at the mansion of Samuel L. Barlow. The cream of
the city’s aristocracy was in attendance—General George Brinton
McClellan, commander of the Union forces in the Civil War; General
Benjamin Butler; Horace Greeley, editor of the newspaper the New
York Tribune; Harpending; Ralston; and Tiffany. Only Slack and
Arnold were missing—as tourists in the city, they had decided to go
sight-seeing.
When Tiffany announced that the gems were real and
worth a fortune, the financiers could barely control their
excitement. They wired Rothschild and other tycoons to tell them
about the diamond mine and inviting them to share in the
investment. At the same time, they also told the prospectors that
they wanted one more test: They insisted that a mining expert of
their choosing accompany Slack and Arnold to the site to verify its
wealth. The prospectors reluctantly agreed. In the meantime, they
said, they had to return to San Francisco. The jewels that Tiffany
had examined they left with Harpending for safekeeping.
Several weeks later, a man named Louis Janin, the
best mining expert in the country, met the prospectors in San
Francisco. Janin was a born skeptic who was determined to make sure
that the mine was not a fraud. Accompanying Janin were Harpending,
and several other interested financiers. As with the previous
expert, the prospectors led the team through a complex series of
canyons, completely confusing them as to their whereabouts.
Arriving at the site, the financiers watched in amazement as Janin
dug the area up, leveling anthills, turning over boulders, and
finding emeralds, rubies, sapphires, and most of all diamonds. The
dig lasted eight days, and by the end, Janin was convinced: He told
the investors that they now possessed the richest field in mining
history. “With a hundred men and proper machinery,” he told them,
“I would guarantee to send out one million dollars in diamonds
every thirty days.”
Returning to San Francisco a few days later,
Ralston, Harpending, and company acted fast to form a $10 million
corporation of private investors. First, however, they had to get
rid of Arnold and Slack. That meant hiding their excitement—they
certainly did not want to reveal the field’s real value. So they
played possum. Who knows if Janin is right, they told the
prospectors, the mine may not be as rich as we think. This just
made the prospectors angry. Trying a different tactic, the
financiers told the two men that if they insisted on having shares
in the mine, they would end up being fleeced by the unscrupulous
tycoons and investors who would run the corporation ; better, they
said, to take the $700,000 already offered—an enormous sum at the
time—and put their greed aside. This the prospectors seemed to
understand, and they finally agreed to take the money, in return
signing the rights to the site over to the financiers, and leaving
maps to it.
News of the mine spread like wildfire. Prospectors
fanned out across Wyoming. Meanwhile Harpending and group began
spending the millions they had collected from their investors,
buying equipment, hiring the best men in the business, and
furnishing luxurious offices in New York and San Francisco.
A few weeks later, on their first trip back to the
site, they learned the hard truth: Not a single diamond or ruby was
to be found. It was all a fake. They were ruined. Harpending had
unwittingly lured the richest men in the world into the biggest
scam of the century.
Interpretation
Arnold and Slack pulled off their stupendous con
not by using a fake engineer or bribing Tiffany: All of the experts
had been real. All of them honestly believed in the existence of
the mine and in the value of the gems. What had fooled them all was
nothing else than Arnold and Slack themselves. The two men seemed
to be such rubes, such hayseeds, so naive, that no one for an
instant had believed them capable of an audacious scam. The
prospectors had simply observed the law of appearing more stupid
than the mark—the deceiver’s First Commandment.
The logistics of the con were quite simple. Months
before Arnold and Slack announced the “discovery” of the diamond
mine, they traveled to Europe, where they purchased some real gems
for around $12,000 (part of the money they had saved from their
days as gold miners). They then salted the “mine” with these gems,
which the first expert dug up and brought to San Francisco. The
jewelers who had appraised these stones, including Tiffany himself,
had gotten caught up in the fever and had grossly overestimated
their value. Then Ralston gave the prospectors $100,000 as
security, and immediately after their trip to New York they simply
went to Amsterdam, where they bought sacks of uncut gems, before
returning to San Francisco. The second time they salted the mine,
there were many more jewels to be found.
The effectiveness of the scheme, however, rested
not on tricks like these but on the fact that Arnold and Slack
played their parts to perfection. On their trip to New York, where
they mingled with millionaires and tycoons, they played up their
clodhopper image, wearing pants and coats a size or two too small
and acting incredulous at everything they saw in the big city. No
one believed that these country simpletons could possibly be
conning the most devious, unscrupulous financiers of the time. And
once Harpending, Ralston, and even Rothschild accepted the mine’s
existence, anyone who doubted it was questioning the intelligence
of the world’s most successful businessmen.
In the end, Harpending’s reputation was ruined and
he never recovered; Rothschild learned his lesson and never fell
for another con; Slack took his money and disappeared from view,
never to be found. Arnold simply went home to Kentucky. After all,
his sale of his mining rights had been legitimate; the buyers had
taken the best advice, and if the mine had run out of diamonds,
that was their problem. Arnold used the money to greatly enlarge
his farm and open up a bank of his own.
KEYS TO POWER
The feeling that someone else is more intelligent
than we are is almost intolerable. We usually try to justify it in
different ways: “He only has book knowledge, whereas I have real
knowledge.” “Her parents paid for her to get a good education. If
my parents had had as much money, if I had been as privileged....”
“He’s not as smart as he thinks.” Last but not least: “She may know
her narrow little field better than I do, but beyond that she’s
really not smart at all. Even Einstein was a boob outside
physics.”
Given how important the idea of intelligence is to
most people’s vanity, it is critical never inadvertently to insult
or impugn a person’s brain power. That is an unforgivable sin. But
if you can make this iron rule work for you, it opens up all sorts
of avenues of deception. Subliminally reassure people that they are
more intelligent than you are, or even that you are a bit of a
moron, and you can run rings around them. The feeling of
intellectual superiority you give them will disarm their
suspicion-muscles.
In 1865 the Prussian councillor Otto von Bismarck
wanted Austria to sign a certain treaty. The treaty was totally in
the interests of Prussia and against the interests of Austria, and
Bismarck would have to strategize to get the Austrians to agree to
it. But the Austrian negotiator, Count Blome, was an avid
cardplayer. His particular game was quinze, and he often said that
he could judge a man’s character by the way he played quinze.
Bismarck knew of this saying of Blome’s.
The night before the negotiations were to begin,
Bismarck innocently engaged Blome in a game of quinze. The Prussian
would later write, “That was the very last time I ever played
quinze. I played so recklessly that everyone was astonished. I lost
several thousand talers [the currency of the time], but I succeeded
in fooling [Blome], for he believed me to be more venturesome than
I am and I gave way.” Besides appearing reckless, Bismarck also
played the witless fool, saying ridiculous things and bumbling
about with a surplus of nervous energy.
All this made Blome feel he had gathered valuable
information. He knew that Bismarck was aggressive—the Prussian
already had that reputation, and the way he played had confirmed
it. And aggressive men, Blome knew, can be foolish and rash.
Accordingly, when the time came to sign the treaty, Blome thought
he had the advantage. A heedless fool like Bismarck, he thought, is
incapable of cold-blooded calculation and deception, so he only
glanced at the treaty before signing it—he failed to read the fine
print. As soon as the ink was dry, a joyous Bismarck exclaimed in
his face, “Well, I could never have believed that I should find an
Austrian diplomat willing to sign that document!”
The Chinese have a phrase, “Masquerading as a swine
to kill the tiger.” This refers to an ancient hunting technique in
which the hunter clothes himself in the hide and snout of a pig,
and mimics its grunting. The mighty tiger thinks a pig is coming
his way, and lets it get close, savoring the prospect of an easy
meal. But it is the hunter who has the last laugh.
Masquerading as a swine works wonders on those who,
like tigers, are arrogant and overconfident: The easier they think
it is to prey on you, the more easily you can turn the tables. This
trick is also useful if you are ambitious yet find yourself low in
the hierarchy: Appearing less intelligent than you are, even a bit
of a fool, is the perfect disguise. Look like a harmless pig and no
one will believe you harbor dangerous ambitions. They may even
promote you since you seem so likable, and subservient. Claudius
before he became emperor of Rome, and the prince of France who
later became Louis XIII, used this tactic when those above them
suspected they might have designs on the throne. By playing the
fool as young men, they were left alone. When the time came for
them to strike, and to act with vigor and decisiveness, they caught
everyone off-guard.
Intelligence is the obvious quality to downplay,
but why stop there? Taste and sophistication rank close to
intelligence on the vanity scale; make people feel they are more
sophisticated than you are and their guard will come down. As
Arnold and Slack knew, an air of complete naivete can work wonders.
Those fancy financiers were laughing at them behind their backs,
but who laughed loudest in the end? In general, then, always make
people believe they are smarter and more sophisticated than you
are. They will keep you around because you make them feel better
about themselves, and the longer you are around, the more
opportunities you will have to deceive them.
Image:
The Opossum. In playing
dead, the opossum plays stupid.
Many a predator has therefore left it
alone. Who could believe that such an
ugly, unintelligent, nervous little creature
could be capable of such deception?
The Opossum. In playing
dead, the opossum plays stupid.
Many a predator has therefore left it
alone. Who could believe that such an
ugly, unintelligent, nervous little creature
could be capable of such deception?
Authority: Know how to make use of stupidity: The
wisest man plays this card at times. There are occasions when the
highest wisdom consists in appearing not to know—you must not be
ignorant but capable of playing it. It is not much good being wise
among fools and sane among lunatics. He who poses as a fool is not
a fool. The best way to be well received by all is to clothe
yourself in the skin of the dumbest of brutes. (Baltasar Gracián,
1601-1658)
REVERSAL
To reveal the true nature of your intelligence
rarely pays; you should get in the habit of downplaying it at all
times. If people inadvertently learn the truth—that you are
actually much smarter than you look—they will admire you more for
being discreet than for making your brilliance show. At the start
of your climb to the top, of course, you cannot play too stupid:
You may want to let your bosses know, in a subtle way, that you are
smarter than the competition around you. As you climb the ladder,
however, you should to some degree try to dampen your
brilliance.
There is, however, one situation where it pays to
do the opposite—when you can cover up a deception with a show of
intelligence. In matters of smarts as in most things, appearances
are what count. If you seem to have authority and knowledge, people
will believe what you say. This can be very useful in getting you
out of a scrape.
The art dealer Joseph Duveen was once attending a
soiree at the New York home of a tycoon to whom he had recently
sold a Dürer painting for a high price. Among the guests was a
young French art critic who seemed extremely knowledgeable and
confident. Wanting to impress this man, the tycoon’s daughter
showed him the Dürer, which had not yet been hung. The critic
studied it for a time, then finally said, “You know, I don’t think
this Dürer is right.” He followed the young woman as she hurried to
tell her father what he had said, and listened as the magnate,
deeply unsettled, turned to Duveen for reassurance. Duveen just
laughed. “How very amusing,” he said. “Do you realize, young man,
that at least twenty other art experts here and in Europe have been
taken in too, and have said that painting isn’t genuine? And now
you’ve made the same mistake.” His confident tone and air of
authority intimidated the Frenchman, who apologized for his
mistake.
Duveen knew that the art market was flooded with
fakes, and that many paintings had been falsely ascribed to old
masters. He tried his best to distinguish the real from the fake,
but in his zeal to sell he often overplayed a work’s authenticity.
What mattered to him was that the buyer believed he had bought a
Dürer, and that Duveen himself convinced everyone of his
“expertness” through his air of irreproachable authority. Thus, it
is important to be able to play the professor when necessary and
never impose such an attitude for its own sake.