- Richard Branson
- Business Stripped Bare
- Business_Stripped_Bare_split_013.html
4
Learning from Mistakes and Setbacks
Damage
Report
In 1969 I made the
biggest mistake of my life. It was an event referred to as recently
as late 2007 by the Liberal Democrat MP Vince Cable in the House of
Commons during Virgin Money's bid for the Northern Rock bank. He
said, when speaking under UK parliamentary privilege, that I was
not a fit person to run a bank. In the UK, nearly forty years after
a lapse in judgement, I was still being
pilloried.
I was nineteen years old and driving
a shipment of records to Belgium when I stumbled on the fact that
records bought in Great Britain that were intended for export were
not subject to purchase tax. So I bought the records I needed,
pretended they were for export, and then sold them to British
customers. The whole ploy involved driving four Transit vans loaded
with records to Dover, taking them to France, then returning on the
next ferry with the records still on board. It was not only
illegal, it was really pretty stupid. In May 1969, I was caught
red-handed by HM Customs & Excise, put in a cell overnight and
charged under Section 301 of the Customs & Excise Act 1952. It
nearly killed off my entrepreneurial dreams; thankfully it didn't –
but it did teach me a hard lesson about never doing anything
illegal or unethical ever again. I hadn't fully appreciated the
seriousness of what we were doing or the potential damage it could
do to my reputation. It was my mum and dad who bailed me out,
putting up their home as security. In the end, customs agreed not
to press charges as long as I paid back three times the tax that
had not been paid – around £60,000 – and I was spared a criminal
record. What I didn't know at the time was that the big record
retailers were pulling the same stunt in a more systematic way, and
they too soon ran into the same problem.
After this shock, all the staff got
together and we agreed to work night and day to settle our debts,
expanding the company as fast as we possibly could in order to pay
off these debts and to avoid me going to court.
It took us three years. But I learned
a very important lesson: never do anything
that means you can't sleep at night.
One thing is certain in business. You
and everyone around you will make mistakes. When you are pushing
the boundaries, this is inevitable – and it's important to realise
this. Even when things are running well, there is always the
prospect of a new reality around the corner. Suddenly, all the good
decisions you made last week are doing you untold damage. Where on
earth did you go wrong?
At Virgin, we have always been
prepared to face the facts – however unpalatable they might be.
Failure usually occurs when leaders avoid the reality of business.
You have to trust the people around you to learn from their
mistakes. Blame and recriminations are pointless.
In business, as in life, there will
always be external risk factors that are beyond your control. Oil
prices triple. A terrorist blows himself up in a shopping mall.
Hurricanes level entire cities. Currency fluctuations leave behind
trails of bankruptcies.
But you can take measures to mitigate
and manage business risks. Then, if disaster strikes, at least your
attention won't be split every which way by other worries.
Always, always,
have a disaster protocol in
place. Because if something truly horrific occurs, a lot of
frightened people are going to come to you looking for
answers.
On 23 February 2007, at around 8.15
p.m., one of our new Pendolino tilting trains – travelling at
100mph – jumped over a set of points in Cumbria in the north-west
of England, on a remote and scenic part of the West Coast Main
Line.
On board was Margaret Masson, an
elderly lady travelling back to her home in Cardonald, near
Glasgow. Margaret – her family and friends called her Peggy – was
thrown around in the coach as the train slid along the railbed and
then careened down a steep embankment.
For ten years, Virgin Trains had been
safely carrying millions of passengers all over the UK. Virgin
Atlantic, meanwhile, had flown millions of customers around the
globe without injury. That night, life changed in our business. We
had our first casualties. Margaret Masson was dead. Several other
people were seriously hurt.
Zermatt, Switzerland. My family and I
came off the slopes after a brilliant day's skiing. There had been
a welcome dump of snow and everyone agreed it had been a perfect
day. In the evening, exhausted, we all sat down together to watch a
film in the local cinema, when I felt eight or nine gentle buzzes
on my mobile phone. I went outside. The text message said there had
been a rail accident and that it was Code Black, indicating that it
was serious. I phoned our then director of communications, Will
Whitehorn (now president of Virgin Galactic), who sits on the board
of Virgin Trains. The call went to voicemail – an unusual event for
a person who is always in touch with me. I called Will's wife, Lou,
on her mobile and she reminded me that it was his birthday; for the
first time in a year, he had actually switched his phone off. I
phoned Tony Collins, the managing director of Virgin Trains, and
the man responsible for building the Pendolino trains.
'I'm afraid it's a serious
derailment. The train's gone down a ravine and the police are
trying to get to the passengers. We should prepare ourselves for
the worst.'
'I'll be there in a few hours,' I
said. 'Can you meet me?'
'I'll pick you up when you get in.
Just let me know your arrival time.'
I couldn't get a helicopter because
the snow I had just been skiing over and having such fun on was
still falling, shutting down much of Switzerland. The airports at
Sion and Geneva were both out of action. The best I could manage
was to drive to Zurich, which was five hours away. I hired a car
and drove through the night. I got the first flight out of Zurich
at 6.30 a.m. The flight went to Manchester and I met up with Tony
Collins and with Will, who had flown in from Heathrow. They briefed
me on the latest situation, and then we caught the BBC morning
news. The reports said the train was intact, and that this had
contributed to the large number of survivors. That was heartening:
Pendolino No. 390033, City of Glasgow,
like all our new trains, had been deliberately built like a tank.
An interim accident report, later confirmed, suggested that a track
failure was responsible for the accident. This news, too, reshaped
our task and made it somewhat easier, because we could be fairly
certain by then that nothing Virgin Trains had done or failed to do
had contributed to the incident.
As we headed to the Royal Preston
Hospital in Lancashire, however, we still had little idea of the
scale of the accident. The hospital registrar there said the
emergency services had been gearing up for over 100 casualties when
they first heard the news. Because the Pendolino carriages coped
well, only twenty-four people needed to be taken to hospital –
still, the scale of the medical preparations we saw was
daunting.
We went up to Grayrigg, to visit the
crash site. It was as if a massive Hornby model railway set had
been picked up by a spoilt giant and dashed to the ground. With a
jolt I recalled how much I'd had to argue with the Department of
Transport – which provides large subsidies for the railway system –
to allow us to increase the safety specifications of our trains. If
this had happened to any of our old BR rolling stock, the injuries
and the mortalities would have been horrendous. As it was, the
carriages had held together. Even the windows were
intact.
It was while I was surveying the
devastation that I was first told about the bravery of one man.
Since that time, whenever I think of the courage of our test
pilots, or my friend the explorer Steve Fossett, who's sadly lost
to us now, or the ballooning guru Per Lindstrand, I also consider
the resolve it must have taken to deal with 400 tonnes of derailed
train. The actions of the train driver Iain Black, a former
policeman, were incredible. Once the train had derailed, its own
momentum propelled it a further 600 metres along the railbed. Iain
battled to slow the train down on the stones. He stayed in his seat
for a quarter-mile, trying to control the train. He didn't protect
himself by running back from his cab. Instead, he did everything he
could to save his passengers, and in the process he sustained
serious injuries to his neck. It was his selfless action that
averted more casualties. In my book, he is a true
hero.
We stared numbly at the wreckage for
a while, then returned to the hospital.
I met Margaret Masson's family in the
hospital mortuary, of all places. They were clearly devastated. I
offered them my condolences. We found ourselves hugging each
other.
The next minute – or that's how it
seemed – I was facing television cameras and a press pack hungry
for answers. I thought I was going to choke up. I came very close,
but held it together and stuck to the facts as we knew them on the
day.
At the time I couldn't say much.
Again, I offered my condolences to Peggy's family. I also expressed
my gratitude to Iain, who lay in another hospital nearby with
injuries that would keep him off work for many months. Our other
on-board staff – Karen Taylor, Derek Stewart and Gordon Burns – had
all behaved in an exemplary fashion, and well beyond the call of
duty, ignoring their own minor injuries in order to lead customers
safely from the train.
After that, if I wanted to help
people – the police, emergency and hospital workers, the mountain
rescue volunteers, railway colleagues from Virgin, Network Rail and
other companies – the best thing I could do was to keep out of
their way. I left feeling unsatisfied: was there really no more
that I could do? There didn't seem to be, but I comforted myself
with the thought that at least I'd been there.
It is a boss's duty to get to the
scene as quickly as humanly possible. If you delay showing your
face in public after something like this, recriminations, anger and
blame set in. This will be bad enough for you; imagine what all
that confusion and worry does to the people who've been affected by
the incident. In my view, if the press are demanding early answers
for good and just reasons – and that was very much the case here –
it is imperative for business executives to be prepared to face the
media at the first opportunity. Every senior executive should be
capable, if push comes to shove, of becoming a visible company
spokesperson. I remember, after a serious plane crash at Kegworth
in January 1989, Sir Michael Bishop, who was CEO of the airline
British Midland, spoke to the media straight away with great
clarity and care.
When Virgin Trains was putting its
own emergency procedures in place, we analysed a number of serious
rail incidents, and had been consistently appalled by the amount of
time it took before anyone stood up and said: 'Speak to me about
this'. And we were daunted at how fast confusion and blame set in
as people waited for any kind of statement from anybody about what
had happened and why.
So our disaster-planning scenarios
have three main aims: to get to the scene fast; to be efficient in
dealing with the passengers, staff and media; and to be honest
about what is happening. The other lesson to come home was that the
tremendous planning and refusal to skimp on costs on building the
Pendolino to the very highest standards in the world really paid
off and saved the lives of people who would not be here today if
they had been travelling in the old trains we
replaced.
*
You can't protect yourself against the
unexpected, so you need to keep your house in as good an order as
you can. If disaster strikes, you don't want to find yourself doing
twelve things at once and misprioritising them in public. It's
vital, therefore, that you take control of your internal business
risks – the ones you can
influence.
I've failed to follow my own advice
here on a couple of occasions – and I've always regretted it. For
instance, I'm not always good at cutting my losses. I should have
faced up to the realities of the market and sold off Virgin
Megastores years before we did. My decision to overrule my
colleagues and hold on to them for too long cost us a lot of money,
only balanced by the fact that the chain's very existence and brand
was the distributing channel and bedrock of the early success of
Virgin Mobile.
I don't think that a chairman need
fall on his sword if someone messes up in the company. Chairmen
must learn from the incident and try to make sure that particular
mistakes are never repeated. An apology on behalf of the company –
perhaps in a public forum, sometimes in person to the individual
who has been messed up – is an appropriate starting point. I know
business books that say you should never admit to failure, but I
would not tolerate such an attitude among my people. I see nothing
wrong with admitting a genuine mistake.
An entrepreneur has to make the tough
calls. Some say it requires a ruthless streak. I don't agree. I
don't think I'm ruthless, although I have been portrayed that way
by a few people who don't really know me and have never met me.
There are some things in my business life that I regret – and I
have made mistakes about people. One of my faults is that I have
often been so focused on a business project or an idea that I have
been unable to appreciate what was going on in someone's life right
in front of my nose. I've tried to learn from this, taking extra
time to listen. Actually, I think it is counterproductive to be
ruthless. You've got to treat people as you
would yourself, or better.
Let's be clear about the manager's
responsibilities here. There's an idea abroad that people no longer
resign when they should. To hear some people spin it, you would
think resignation is the only effective action the manager of a
troubled company can take. This is patent rubbish. And for the
record, there never was a time in business or political history
when talented people resigned over trifles, or out of some notion
of honour. It's a myth.
If something catastrophic happens to
a company, and the chairman actually appointed that person who
caused this systemic failure of the business, then the chairman
certainly needs to consider his or her position. If a major bank
does not have the security systems in place to protect itself from
a rogue trader, and that trader does immense damage to the company,
then, yes, the chairman or chief executive should probably consider
resigning their position. They are ultimately
responsible.
In most other cases, managers should
stay where they are and sort their messes out. It's what they're
paid for, after all. Most importantly, someone should apologise for
the mess happening in the first place.
You definitely should get the best
people around you when confronted with a serious problem. Don't try
to deal with it all by yourself. Don't be afraid to seek help and
advice. If someone else is better than you at dealing with it, then
for goodness' sake delegate it. And equally for goodness' sake,
don't jump down their throats if they fail.
My management team reckon 2003 wasn't
exactly a vintage year. That was the year Apple's first iPod
personal music player was emerging. We had a couple of very bright
people from Palm who came over with their own funky version of the
MP3 and a range of accessories. The analysis didn't truly stack up
according to the management team but I insisted we push on with it:
our very own MP3 player, Virgin Pulse! We had to make some heroic
assumptions about how to scale up because we were buying the
devices from China and Taiwan. We spent $20 million on designing
and bringing it to market – and our products were critically
acclaimed in the United States – but it didn't have the simplicity
of the iPod and the cost of manufacturing just throttled us out of
the marketplace. Apple had taken a leaf from Texas Instruments, the
pocket-calculator experts who dominated their market for many
years. If you drive down the retail price fast enough when you are
the dominant player, you never allow anyone else to catch up
because they can't make enough money. It requires the dominant
player to be brave, because it can mean cannibalising your existing
sales by dropping the retail price. That's what happened when iPod
introduced the cheaper and smaller iPod nano – it slammed the door
on anyone else trying to build significant market share beneath
them. The Virgin Pulse bombed and we had to write off $20
million.
It's often hard when you're focusing
on the day-to-day in business to admit that what you thought was
right becomes wrong. For example, we put a truly innovative
upper-class seat on Virgin Atlantic's planes in 2000. However, we
took too long to develop them and did not keep the project secret
enough. British Airways got wind of what we were up to (and even
got hold of our plans) and out-innovated us with a better seat.
Customer feedback was swift and brutal. People were voting with
their credit cards and travelling with other airlines – and our
airline began to suffer. We could have kept the seats until they
depreciated, but we decided the mistake was just too ghastly to
live with. We cut our losses and dumped them. The cost to us? £100
million. The benefit to us? We now have the best business-class
flat beds in the world, designed by our own team, and we have
created a product our rivals cannot match. We have easily recouped
our losses with this decision.
It's embarrassing to admit this
stuff, and I think it's a fear of embarrassment that discourages
many chairmen and bosses from doing their jobs properly. It's all
very well sitting there wondering why your business is
disappearing, but it's only by getting out from behind your desk
and sampling the products that you will ever see what's going
wrong. When you have found out what is going wrong, the next step
is to get the team involved to fix it rather than fire them. That
way, you can keep your team together and close the door on rivals
who might benefit from your mistakes by hiring the very people who
have just learned the lesson the hard way.
Starting a soft-drinks war with
Coca-Cola was crazy. It was one of our highest profile business
mistakes, though it was also one of the things that raised the
profile of the Virgin name in America. Launching Virgin Cola in
1994, we were having fun and revelling in underdog bravado, so
pleased to be snapping at the heels of the biggest dog in town.
Taking on Coke taught us two things: how to make a great cola with
a different taste; and how to antagonise a global business that
brought in $28 billion in 2007, with profits of $5
billion.
It was only several years later that
I learned how Coca-Cola eventually set up a SWAT team to ensure
that Virgin Cola never got a proper foothold in the soft-drinks
market. Yes, we somehow contrived to blind ourselves completely to
the power and the influence of a global brand that epitomises the
strength and reach of American capitalism.
Here's how we did it – and, whatever
you do, don't try this at home.
The Virgin Trading Company, a wholly
owned Virgin subsidiary, was our beverage start-up division. Virgin
Spirits, a joint venture with Scottish whisky distiller William
Grant, had been established to market and distribute Virgin Vodka.
You can still enjoy a bottle of Virgin Vodka – it's available on
Virgin Atlantic flights, along with our special Glenfiddich Scotch
whisky.
The Virgin Cola Company was a joint
venture with the Canadian soft-drink company Cott Corporation, the
world's largest supplier of retailer own-brand soda drinks. Cott
bottled own-brand products for such chains as A&P, Loblaw's and
Safeway in Canada and Albertson's, K Mart, Safeway, 7-Eleven and
Wal-Mart stores in the United States. Virgin Cola was introduced in
the UK in 1994 and we originally achieved success in the pub and
restaurant trade. I was convinced by the late Gerry Pencer, the
chief executive of Cott Corporation, that we were in a position to
make a strong bid for a portion of the global market. After all,
Cott had customers in Australia, Britain, Hong Kong, Israel and
Japan, and these were key markets for us. But Cott baulked at
taking on Coke directly. We should have listened.
We knew there was a lot going on
behind the scenes. One of Tesco's main buying team, John
Gildersleeve, a senior director who was a non-executive of several
companies, had indicated that they would take one million cases of
Virgin Cola. The next we heard, he had told Simon Lester at Cott
that they wouldn't be supporting us after all. This was three weeks
before the launch – and the invitations had gone out for the event
at Planet Hollywood in London.
I phoned John to ask why the change
of heart. He said: 'It was a very fine decision – the door's not
completely closed.' He knew I wanted to make a press announcement,
and he knew I needed the confidence of having a major retailer on
board. 'But we have two concerns. First, there are some commercial
considerations. They can be resolved. But second, there's this
whole question of the brand positioning and what it might do for
us.'
He explained to me that a solus
arrangement – an exclusive deal with Tesco – is a two-edged sword.
He said Tesco would be identified with the product whether it was
good or bad. If I got fed up with it in three months' time, it
would reflect on Tesco – good or bad. He said when Sainsbury's
launched their own Classic Cola, Tesco adopted a position that they
would only sell 'The Real Thing'.
John said that he was worried that we
might be a bit inflammatory in the way we attacked Coca-Cola. He
pointed out that Coke had been very good customers for Tesco and
the last thing he wanted was Coke being taken out of his stores.
This was an honest opinion that I respected. I could see Tesco's
position, but it was very important for Virgin Cola to be on the
supermarket shelves – preferably on offer at the end of the
aisles.
I explained that every company we
start, we stick with; that we wanted to give the public more
choice; and our campaign was focused on defending our position and
explaining why we were better – we weren't interested in merely
slagging off a competitor. I told him this applied to all our
campaigns – even to Virgin Atlantic's battle with British Airways.
I pointed out our reputation among consumers was very good. (A NOP
market research survey in a recent edition of PR Week was conveniently to hand to back this up!)
Both David Sainsbury of Sainsbury's and Archie Norman at ASDA had
also told me they would stock Virgin Cola.
The next day John came to see me in
person. As a consequence of the call and our meeting, Tesco changed
its mind and decided to stock our cola. It was a wonderful boost
for us. In December, sales of cola went up 36 per cent in Tesco
stores – and 75 per cent of these were sales of Virgin
Cola.
Then Coke started to make life more
difficult for us.
I was in a Virgin Trains meeting when
one of the former British Rail executives told me he had been on a
management away-day at an assault course, and he had met some
Coca-Cola managers. He'd asked them what they were doing on the
assault course. They replied: 'We're getting ready for action with
Virgin Cola.'
I thought the story was over the top
at the time, but with hindsight I can see that, once Coke had woken
up, of course they had read the launch of Virgin Cola as a
declaration of war.
Coke's commandos went into action.
Coca-Cola's secret recipe is a syrup essence shipped to hundreds of
independent bottlers around the world and they are responsible for
producing, packaging, distributing and merchandising. Coke visited
every bottling business and said they didn't want Virgin Cola to be
produced by their bottlers. It wasn't simply the cola – the
bottlers also depended on their livelihoods for the other soft
drinks in the Coke portfolio, such as Sprite, Fanta, Diet Coke and
Minute Maid: all highly lucrative business for the
bottlers.
In 1998, we acquired Cott's share of
the business and relaunched Virgin Cola with a further $25 million
investment. Our goal: to take on Coke on their home territory. Coke
wanted war. So we drove a British tank into Times Square in New
York and fired a mock round at the Coca-Cola sign (we'd secretly
had it wired up the night before by a pyrotechnical team and it
looked like it had gone up in smoke) before ploughing through a
massive wall of cola tins. Sightseers ran wailing from the square
and we nearly ended up in jail.
In Britain, Virgin Cola was flying
off the shelves. In France, we were closing in on Pepsi, doing well
in Belgium and Switzerland and negotiating a franchise in Japan and
Italy. We thought we might be able to pull it off.
In 2004, I was invited to meet my new
corporate bank boss, Diana Brightmore-Armour, a very bright woman
working in London for Lloyds TSB. We were enjoying a fun evening
when she revealed to me: 'Richard, you don't know this, but I was
working for Coca-Cola in Atlanta when you launched Virgin Cola – I
knew what an impact you would have so I persuaded the senior
management to set up a SWAT team to ensure that Virgin Cola
failed.'
I was quite amazed. In 1997, we knew
that Coca-Cola were keen to drive us out of business but we didn't
realise to what extreme.
'I was at a senior executive meeting
when it was reported that you were preparing to launch the cola
into America. Most people at the headquarters were rather blasé.
They didn't really know about Virgin and thought it just another
local soft-drink brand.' But she garnered support from one or two
Brits at the meeting and they helped her warn the bosses: 'This
isn't just anyone – this is Richard Branson, who has a lot of clout
and can build a major brand. We need to stop this as soon as
possible,' she told them.
While Coca-Cola had few worries about
a regional brand competing in a local marketplace with Coke and its
other products, it didn't want to face another competitor such as
Pepsi. My dining companion revealed how a team came to England to
set up another team to ensure that distributors and shops were all
given extra incentives to sell Coke – and keep us off the shelves.
I heard later that the number of Coke people trying to stop us was
bigger than the whole of our team in Virgin Cola! We truly were the
underdogs.
After gaining a peak of 75 per cent
of sales at Tesco and over 10 per cent of total UK market sales,
sales started to decline. Coca Cola's SWAT teams were beginning to
punish us. Coke started discounting cola more cheaply than bottled
water – an offer we couldn't match: we simply didn't have the
money. The only way to make money on a commodity where the price is
so low is to ensure that you sell huge volumes – that's what the
Coca-Cola company does. Coca-Cola threatened small retailers that
they would take out their fridges if they continued to stock us.
They also hinted that they would withdraw Coke altogether from the
same retailers.
Our Coke escapade led to a number of
articles asking whether Virgin had a proper strategy in place. A
Business Week cover article questioned
whether we had the ability to manage Virgin's 'chaotic' empire.
Well, of course we had. We were a way-of-life brand, offering a
consistent and enjoyable experience to our customers whether they
were flying the Atlantic or making a mobile phone call. Virgin
wasn't chaotic – it was utterly focused on the job of realising its
core values in many diverse sectors.
Colas are a drink young people enjoy,
so we figured a Virgin Cola would be a good idea. Coca-Cola is a
huge corporation, and since Virgin is all about outfoxing the big
guy, we leapt at the opportunity to take them on. Colas are pretty
much indistinguishable as drinks, and much of the customer's
enjoyment comes from brandishing their favourite brand; the Virgin
brand was popular, so how could we lose?
We lost by ignoring the gaping hole
in this otherwise rather solid-sounding proposition: as a cola
manufacturer, we weren't the people's champion. They already were.
They were getting their product into
people's hands, every day, everywhere. They were offering their product at an unbeatable
price because they had the biggest economies of scale on the
planet. They were offering their
customers a rather nice soft drink into the bargain. And their
brand name was so ingrained in people's minds that when they asked
for a Cola, they'd call it a 'Coke'.
Yes, Coca-Cola played hardball
against us. But we had already lost. We still produce Virgin soft
drinks, but in a much more targeted and niche way. And Virgin Cola
is still the number-one cola drink – in Bangladesh!
I notice that Red Bull has launched
its own cola. I know it will take them some time and a large
tranche of money to win significant market share. But then, as a
drinks company, this is their core business.
And perhaps the best thing to come
out of our Virgin Cola escapade was a brilliant new company called
Innocent Drinks, run by some entrepreneurial guys who were at
Virgin Cola and saw a gap in the market for fresh fruit smoothies
and have now built a business worth several hundred million
dollars. While still with Virgin they set up a stall at the V
festival to have revellers sample their products. They had two
bins: a 'yes' bin and a 'no' bin. They asked people whether they
should give up their full-time jobs to start the company. People
tested the product and by the end of the day, the 'yes' bin was
overflowing. Our loss, but even if it isn't a Virgin Company, I get
a real surge of satisfaction to know that these guys cut their
teeth in a Virgin business and made it work.
Back in 1971, when I was more gung-ho,
I wrote in my notebook: 'We don't need
lawyers.' But over the years, stating our agreements in
clear and unambiguous terms has proved, again and again, to have
been vital for our success. Our contract with T-Mobile, in
particular, turned out to be a vital document for us. Incurring
unnecessary legal fees can ruin your start-up, but the answer, I
now think, is not to ignore the lawyers, but to get the basics
right from the very beginning. Any start-up business should sit
down and take a long hard look at its legal
agreements.
Our Virgin Mobile business was going
exceptionally well in the UK. There was an incredible buzz – we
were hitting the bullseye of the UK youth market with funky and
irreverent adverts and great deals. Tom Alexander and the team were
single-minded about the business and piling on thousands of new
customers and there was a sense of fun. In the first three months
of 2003 the turnover was exceeding £1 million a day.
Our television adverts were scooping
awards for innovative marketing – and we were stealing market share
from Orange, Vodaphone and even our network partner, T-Mobile. In
the UK, we were able to use the American rap superstar Wyclef Jean
for a cult advert. In it, he unwittingly signs a contract that
leads him to being bound as a trailer park sex slave. In an attempt
to escape he is subsequently imprisoned for 'breach of contract'.
The underlying message of 'Be careful what you sign' demonstrated
the benefits of switching to non-contract Virgin
Mobile.
For all of us at Virgin Mobile,
however, that advert had acquired a second, private
meaning.
Our original deal had T-Mobile
putting in the network, and Virgin arranging handset procurement,
marketing and the Virgin Mobile brand. It all worked smoothly –
until a new American executive, Harris Jones, arrived on the scene
in Britain. He really set the cat among the pigeons.
He was smart. He looked at our
original contract and saw we had a joint company worth £1 billion,
of which Virgin owned 50 per cent: a fantastic success story in
which both parties were doing well. Harris Jones – and ultimately
his bosses – were desperate to obtain our shares and were willing
to try a number of different tactics to get hold of
them.
What was their problem?
They saw the Virgin Mobile deal as
just another cost, because for every customer on Virgin Mobile,
T-Mobile paid us a monthly marketing fee. This payment was a
termination charge which T-Mobile collected from other networks to
connect their callers to Virgin Mobile's customers. Virgin Mobile
was entitled to this termination fee, even though we didn't own the
network infrastructure. It was in black and white in the
contract.
T-Mobile were saying that the terms
of the contract were legally questionable. While we thought the
agreement was crystal clear, going to court over this was
frightening: T-Mobile was a substantial business and had pockets
deep enough to fund an expensive litigation. Every day spent
dealing with lawyers is not only costly, it's hugely time-consuming
for key executives. Our relationship soon became very sour indeed,
and our cherished flotation looked increasingly
remote.
The case ended in the High Court in
London – and T-Mobile lost. The judge, it was reported, said that
T-Mobile's conduct was 'deserving of moral
condemnation'.
The head of T-Mobile in Germany
handled the fallout well. He was good enough to invite me over to
Germany so that he could apologise to me in person – a decent
gesture, and one we appreciated. After many months, we managed to
secure an out-of-court settlement with Harris Jones's former bosses
in Germany and with a new UK team led by his successor Brian
McBride. Due to the court ruling they had to sell us their shares
for £1 (Brian framed the coin in a presentation case!), and they
offered Virgin Mobile a new airtime contract that it still operates
with today. Thanks in large part to him, we managed to steer our
way towards a stock-market flotation.
The lesson of all this is that you
need to get your basic business contracts properly sorted out.
It's always worth getting the contract right
in the first place. And be prepared, on occasions, to go to
court to defend the company. I'm afraid that when you draw up a
contract for a joint venture, you have to take into account what
might happen if there is a falling-out – or, worse still, when
someone is trying to screw you. It would be lovely if all business
could be done with a handshake – and I have done plenty of
successful business this way in the past – but there are
unscrupulous people out there, and you have to guard yourself and
your business. We have never lost a major court case in forty years
of doing business. In the GTech case (where I was awarded
substantial libel damages), the British Airways case and the
T-Mobile case, we have stood by our decision always to fight our
corner.
Protect your
reputation. Don't be afraid of making mistakes.
These are the rules I live by. They
ought not to contradict each other but many businesses wrongly
assume that they do. Yet there is no denying the risk that mud
sticks, and a damaged reputation in business can follow you around
for years. You can deliver on every promise, keep your word, deal
fairly, show forbearance – and the world can still throw you
curveballs that mess up your reputation. And long after you have
learned your lesson and moved on, others will still be harping on
about this or that misfortune, this or that error. I've known
plenty of talented and trustworthy business people who have carried
the shadow of past errors around with them, and whose careers have
suffered as a result.
There is no way to solve this
problem, but there are ways to mitigate its effects. Certainly you
should never keep your head down. That
will do you no good at all – it'll simply confirm someone's lousy
opinion of you.
I would say, first of all, that you
should improve your communications. At Virgin, we take a great deal
of care to keep the press up to date with what we're doing. Aside
from maintaining a high profile, this helps decent journalists put
any old, bad news in context. Our culture of openness also prevents
bad news from building up a head of steam before it reaches the
public. The public is actually pretty forgiving of most business
errors except hypocrisy, and stalling almost always
backfires.
We also practise what we preach. We
look for people with exciting, dynamic CVs, not spotless ones.
We're not pushovers, but we're happy to take chances with people,
to move them around, to see how they tick and where they fit in. We
don't pin the blame on people, or marginalise them when things go
wrong. This culture pays dividends the longer we're in business,
because eventually people realise that we're a company that knows
how to deal with its problems, and is willing to take
chances.
Over the years the Virgin brand has
earned the reputation of being bold and
unafraid. Isn't it extraordinary how
few brands communicate fearlessness? Commercially, our reputation
for fearlessness has been like gold dust. It turned our battle with
Coca-Cola, which was commercially bad for us, into a story that, in
brand terms, strengthened customer loyalty.
An error-strewn reputation is more
damaging as rumour than it is in face-to-face dealings. Satirical
magazines like Private Eye are always
horrified to discover how many successful and famous friends stick
by figures who are supposedly 'disgraced'. But that's not so
surprising: individuals are better than groups at judging someone's
character.
Your friends are your allies in the
battle to improve your reputation after a knock-back. They will not
only advocate for you; they will front for you. Their reputations
will help yours recover. Distinguished people aren't stupid, and
cultivating someone to take advantage of their reputation isn't
going to wash. But they are, to a fault, generous and
understanding. (They've been through the mill; they know what
life's like.) So don't be afraid to ask the senior figures in your
circle for advice and help.
I know what I'm talking about here
because in 2004, when we were considering options for the flotation
of Virgin Mobile on the London Stock Exchange, one of the perceived
risk factors was me.
Investors usually have short
memories. But the elder members of the City of London
pinstripe-and-braces brigade recalled that I had taken the Virgin
Group on to the stock market with huge fanfare and expectation in
November 1986, and then, after the great market crash of October
1987, I offered to take it back into private hands again. I could
feel the thick, red letters stamped on my forehead: 'Health
Warning: This Man is Dangerous.'
The flotation of Virgin had attracted
more applications from the public than any previous stock market
debut, aside from the massive government privatisation of gas,
electricity and telecoms. Nonetheless, my first experience of
Virgin as a publicly listed company was one of the most miserable
times of my business life. I became very disillusioned with the
constant round of analysts' meetings and investor roadshows. I
hated being accountable to institutional shareholders who didn't
appear to understand our philosophy – and I know a lot of
executives working in plcs have a certain sympathy for my
viewpoint. But nobody was forced to 'take a bath' when we changed
tack – and our investors got their original stake back plus a
healthy dividend.
What happened was this. In 1985, our
fledgling Virgin Atlantic airline found itself entrenched in a
transatlantic price war, and our cash was being squeezed. My
advisers at the time convinced me that we needed to expand the
equity base of the group. Don Cruickshank took on the task of
organising an initial public offering for Virgin's music, retail,
and vision businesses, which were combined into the Virgin Group
plc, a public corporation with 35 per cent of its equity listed on
the London and NASDAQ stock markets.
Looking back, it was a funny sort of
offering. Virgin Atlantic was considered far too risky an
investment and was excluded from the share offering. So were our
nightclubs, Virgin Holidays and Virgin Cargo. Yet Virgin Atlantic
became Britain's second largest long-haul airline, Virgin Holidays
the number-one long-haul holiday company, the clubs have made a
fortune and Virgin Cargo grew to handle nearly 100,000 metric
tonnes of cargo by 2000!
Early in 1986, Don and Trevor Abbott,
who was brought in by Don as finance director, raised £25 million
in a private placing of convertible preference shares from Morgan
Grenfell. There was no legal commitment to convert this to equity
in the event of a flotation, but it all seemed remarkably easy. In
the public sale, the financial institutions would convert their
preference shares into 15 per cent of the listed business, and we
would create new shares for other investors, raising a further £30
million. This still gave me 55 per cent of the Virgin Group, while
outside investors held 34 per cent. The business, which twelve
months earlier Coutts Bank had nearly forced into insolvency, was
valued at £240 million. Some of the cash raised was moved into
Voyager, the company set up to invest in Virgin
Atlantic.
During early 1987, we used money from
the flotation to plot the takeover of EMI Music from Thorn EMI, by
building up our shares, and to open an American music subsidiary,
Virgin Records America. Naturally, both projects soaked up our
capital. Then the stock-market crash in October 1987 hit us – and I
made a mistake. I continued to buy shares in EMI as they were
plummeting. Don Cruickshank and our non-executive directors raged
at me: 'Richard, you cannot do this. You are throwing away good
money after bad.' It was just the sort of thing we should have been
doing if we'd had deeper pockets, but we didn't.
As the world recovered from the
October shock, I expected the share price to jump back after we
announced our results, more than doubling profits from £14 million
to £32 million for the year ending July 1987. But the price of our
shares had fallen along with everybody else's, from our flotation
price of 140p to just over 70p. Double your profits, halve your
share value: this was barmy logic. In July 1988 we told the market
that we were conducting a management buyout – and at the original
price of 140p per share. I didn't want to let down the army of
smaller investors – including many close friends – who had put
their savings and faith in our business. We took out a £300 million
loan to do this, which meant that our gearing was very high. My
dream of taking over EMI Music came to an end there and then. The
City of London had misunderstood our business – we would now go off
and become one of the largest groups of private companies in the
world with several quoted investments to boot.
In 2004, I hoped that the flotation
of Virgin Mobile in the UK would enhance our already considerable
rehabilitation in the eyes of the City.
From early on there had been
speculation in the business press that we would float, with the
Sunday Times calling Virgin Mobile the
new jewel in the Virgin crown. But there were a few wobbles as we
headed for our stock-market flotation in July – mostly caused by
external market conditions, which made it difficult for firms to
become listed on the London market.
Ironically, we were due to float in
the same week as Premier Foods, the makers of Branston Pickle,
which gave the newspapers a chance to dust down their
'BRANSON PICKLE' headlines.
How would investors view the return
of a major Branson business in July 2004? This time round, the
circumstances were entirely different. I had learned a great deal
about business in the intervening years, and I knew that, while my
bearded and smiling face was used in the newspapers, I choose not
to be a board director of any of our public companies, and
therefore would not be in direct control. Corporate governance was
a whole new ball game in 2004, and from day one, Virgin Mobile was
set up and acted like a plc-in-waiting.
A highly experienced team of
corporate business figures was brought in to help Tom Alexander so
there would be no replay of the 1980s. Charles Gurassa, chairman of
TUI Northern Europe, and prior to that chief executive of Thomson
Travel, joined as chairman, and Caroline Marland, a non-executive
director of Burberry and Bank of Ireland, Rupert Gavin, well known
for his work as head of BBC Worldwide, and David Maloney, chief
financial officer of Le Meridien Hotels, all joined the board as
non-executive directors. These were heavyweight players who would
steer the team as they joined the FTSE 250 index.
Tom Alexander and his team, aided by
the non-executive board, had experience and pedigree. They required
my backing only as a significant investor, and, of course, for the
Virgin brand; so they let me be honorary president!
Our financial numbers were very good,
and Virgin Mobile had been run scrupulously for the market. I knew
that the 1987 experience might put off one or two investors. Well,
so be it: there was no one forcing people to invest if they didn't
like us.
On 30 June 2004, Virgin Mobile
announced its intention of seeking a full listing of its shares and
all Virgin Mobile employees who had worked for the company for more
than a year received a gift of free shares. JP Morgan and Morgan
Stanley acted as book-runners and sponsors and with Investec
Securities they also acted as underwriters.
On 7 July 2004, we said that the
indicative price per share would be between 235p to 285p, making
the business worth over £1 billion at the top end of the valuation.
Not a bad return, I thought; perhaps we were being too optimistic.
As the market worsened, we had to temper our expectations, and on
21 July Virgin Mobile announced an offer price of 200p per share,
valuing the business at £811 million, with proceeds of £125 million
and share capital of £500 million.
I could hardly complain, particularly
given the difficult markets which had seen several other IPOs
abandoned during the year. The Virgin Group made around £400
million from Virgin Mobile being floated on the London Stock
Exchange, and has invested this money in new Virgin ventures in the
United States, China and Africa. Memories of 1987 and the 'Branson
Factor' never became a serious issue – and Virgin Mobile has
continued to grow.
*
When life isn't going well, it's very
hard for a company to stay flexible enough to meet the challenge.
Virgin Mobile USA has been trading punches in a fierce market since
the beginning. It has pretty much done everything right – and it's
still by no means out of the woods.
What delights me is the way the
company has continued to innovate its way out of trouble. A
defensive, conservative, cautious mindset – a natural enough
reaction when things get tough – can kill you stone dead in a
competitive marketplace. When your very
existence is threatened, you have to change. This is one of
the hardest lessons to learn in business, because it's so
counter-intuitive. Plus, as you'll see from Virgin Mobile USA's
experience, it's just plain hard to do.
We'd had a brilliant start in 2002
and were kicking ass. Virgin Mobile USA was giving young Americans
the features they wanted, while offering a straightforward price
plan with no contracts to sign and no fine print. But by 2005, the
prepaid mobile phone market was a dogfight. After four years, Dan
Schulman and his team were finding conditions tough. Bigger
competitors – with deeper pockets – started to squeeze Virgin
Mobile USA, targeting the prepaid customer.
Dan responded with great products.
Our Flasher V7 flip phone had a flash camera, two-way picture
messaging, 'superphonic' ringtones, downloadable games and custom
graphics, and it was Virgin Mobile's first handset to plug into our
new higher speed network. The price was great, too. And somehow it
still wasn't enough. It was costing us more and more money to win
market share.
The American team had taken out a
large loan to make an impact in this vast territory, and it looked
at one stage that defaulting might be a real possibility. To add to
their woes, they had supply problems, and pending legal action with
Virgin's major handset supplier, Nokia. I heard from Dan that
employee morale was draining away, as our planned IPO was pushed
further and further into the future. Bonuses were slashed and the
very viability of the company was in question. Shareholders were
concerned. One thing was for sure: our current strategy wasn't
sustainable.
Dan spent a weekend alone and came up
with his new manifesto, Virgin Mobile Rising. It was his clarion
call to the company and to himself to regain the leading position
and focus on a set of radical actions. Keep four million customers
sweet. Resolve the debt and morale issues. Sort out legal matters
with Nokia, Freedom and Telcordia. Relaunch the business. All
within six months.
It was outrageous. It was gutsy. I
loved it – and so did his team.
In 2006 Virgin Mobile USA overhauled
itself. The brand underwent a complete revamp, as did the handsets,
as did the distribution network. New services like Sugar Mama (a
way to earn extra minutes), Stash (a prepay debit card) and
ReGeneration (a charity network to assist homeless young people)
built on emerging youth trends. By the end of July business was
improving dramatically. Even against Cingular, who also had
low-price handsets, Virgin was able to grow its market share. The
customer base rose to 4.6 million, an increase of 20 per cent, and
revenues went from negative to positive. Virgin customers sent or
received 1.5 billion text messages, one from every customer every
single day of the year. In addition, they downloaded 15 million
ringtones and 2.5 million games. By December 2006, Virgin Mobile
USA customers were using 950 million minutes of mobile phone time.
That's a lot of chat.
We got ready for our trip to Wall
Street. On 11 October 2007, Virgin Mobile USA announced its initial
public offering, selling 27,500,000 shares of Virgin Mobile USA, at
$15 a share.
No one ever said business was going
to be easy, though – 2007 was Virgin Mobile USA's first year of
profitability, with a net income of $4.2 million. But five months
after the flotation, things were not looking so good. The US stock
market was going into a tailspin caused by the sub-prime mortgage
crisis and the collapse of Bear Stearns bank. Recession loomed. The
share price was hit by a general downturn in the market and
increased competition. Some analysts were beginning to question the
MVNO model – and our stock price hit $2 a share. This was a
disappointment to all of our investors. But I was convinced it
would bounce back.
Dan, too, was upbeat and clear about
Virgin Mobile's future prospects. 'We think we have one of the most
attractive value propositions in the market, and that our business
is well positioned for the future,' he told investors. I agree.
Throughout its five-year operating history, Virgin Mobile USA has
driven industry innovation and I believe that if it keeps its
nerve, and continues to simplify and evolve its products and
services, it will generate increasing demand.
For all its troubles – or perhaps
because of them – I am incredibly proud of Virgin Mobile USA. The
company has had the guts to innovate its way out of trouble. As the
poet Robert Frost said: 'The best way out is always
through.'
Dan knew that, and really bit the
bullet. He knew that if a company needs reinvigorating, it needs a
complete shake-up from top to tail. He knew not to confuse the
intense physical retune of a company relaunch with the corporate
comb-over of a mere rebranding exercise. He knew to address the
basics – to clear the company's debts and settle its legal issues.
And he knew to keep his staff onside with full, honest, direct
corporate communications.
Virgin Mobile USA deserves to
succeed. And if you follow its example in difficult times, so do
you.
On the evening of Sunday 17 February
2008 I took the ribbed motor launch from Necker Island across to
Biras Creek in the North Sound of Virgin Gorda. The daylight was
fading and there was a brisk breeze, so I was wearing a cashmere
jersey; not my normal attire in the Caribbean. But I felt a chill –
a chill of despondency.
With me was Ryan West (known to
everyone on Necker as Westy), Nicola Duguid, my then personal
assistant, and Professor Dan Kammen. Dan and Westy had come to tell
me how our sustainable tourism project on neighbouring Mosquito
Island was progressing. Dan's energy lab at Berkeley, University of
California, was undertaking some computer modelling for us to
create a low-carbon island holiday resort: all windmills and solar
panels.
But my mind was elsewhere, and I was
terribly disappointed. Five months of hard work by dozens of people
across the Virgin Group had just come to nought, and I was mourning
one of the most audacious deals we had ever concocted. The numbers
were big, and the risk to the brand created over forty years was
huge. There could have been serious repercussions for the brand if
we failed to turn the business around. But I knew we had done our
preparation. I knew success had been within our grasp. And I knew
we could have done a good job. Now, of course, nobody will ever see
the results.
We had lost our bid to rescue the
embattled Northern Rock bank.
As we gathered on the jetty I said:
'Right, chaps, I've just heard that they're nationalising Northern
Rock. So if it's all right with you, I think I'm going to get
drunk.'
This story illustrates so many of the
positive points I've tried to make in this chapter and throughout
the book. Nevertheless, when the stars are set against you, there
really may be nothing you can do. Blame and recriminations offer a
spiteful sort of short-term comfort, but they're toxic, and can
only only stunt your future enterprises.
The opportunity emerged in August
2007 as the international credit crunch began to bite. For many
months I had been watching closely as the situation tightened, and
I eventually decided to sell all my non-Virgin personal
shareholdings in the stock market for cash. It turned out to be a
wise move: I was luckier than many with equity in Northern Rock.
Over the next few weeks, problems began to unfold as the mortgage
banks were unable to get loans. But we didn't expect one of the
biggest collapses in British banking history.
Jayne-Anne Gadhia, meanwhile, was up
to her eyes in mud – though in a good way. On Sunday 16 September
she was with her friends, Susan and Rosemary, being pampered at the
Stobo Castle health spa near Peebles, outside Edinburgh. The Sunday
papers were talking about the collapse of Northern Rock, and
Jayne-Anne pondered that Virgin could do something with this . .
.
She sat up, dropped the paper on the
floor and cast around for a phone.
She called Gordon
McCallum.
'Don't be daft,' was his initial
response. 'It's a step too far.'
That evening she blasted off a
follow-up email to Gordon and Stephen Murphy.
Hi there
Call me insane, but I have been thinking hard about how we
might take some advantage from the current situation at Northern
Rock – and help out at the same time. I think there are a number of
opportunities – ranging from the possible to the
outrageous.
1. Accept that the big balance sheet providers will take
the assets and look to take the systems etc. for a decent
price.
2. Do a deal with a Citi or BOA [Bank of America] where
they buy the company but we put in the brand so they get a
Virgin-branded retail presence in the
UK.
3. Talk to Northern Rock and the Bank of England direct.
Richard could be used as frontman to make some sense of the crisis.
Northern Rock could be rebranded Virgin and the Bank of England
stand behind the current loan facility. We could withdraw from
mortgages for the time being and focus on savings to rebalance the
balance sheet – and with Richard fronting a saving campaign –
Branson making sense of the current crisis – it's all now about
increasing savings and reducing debts
etc.
4. Whatever happens, I think we should do some research
into who people would trust with financial services now. I bet the
answer will be – Richard Branson.
On the one hand I know that this all sounds pretty batty,
but on the other hand – discontinuities in the system make it right
for change – and I think we could do something, if Richard was able
to speak to Darling or Brown to ask how we can
help.
What do you think? I've restrained myself from copying
this to Richard until I got your views.
J-A.
Gordon's reply was his usual mix of
caution and common sense. 'I think 1. is interesting and the rest
is batty! Let's talk tomorrow morning.' Stephen was equally
cautious.
Jayne-Anne decided to phone me
directly. She asked me if I'd seen the queues outside Northern
Rock's branches on the news.
I certainly had.
'Well? Do you think we should give it
a go?'
'Screw it,' I said, 'let's go for
it.'
You can only get into pole position
by giving something a try. Over many years, Virgin's business aim
has been to find a strong position in a game-changing market. We've
done this in the record business, media, telecoms, health clubs and
the airline industry and will soon do it in space travel. We put
ourselves out there, searching for new opportunities. And we know
that they are more likely to come our way if we get ahead of
ourselves and prepare the ground first.
Next day Jayne-Anne talked through
her 'batty' ideas with Peter Norris, one of our long-term advisers,
and a man who had run Barings. Peter said straight away that Virgin
should start to look at the idea seriously. By now Gordon and
Stephen had got their breath back and were over the shock – it was
time to think how best to assemble a team to take on this enormous
task. Our Northern Rock adventure had begun.
The following day I phoned Matt
Ridley, the chairman of Northern Rock. I told him we would love to
see how we could help save the bank. Matt is a charming man. He
appeared delighted to take the call: 'This is great news, Richard.
The Virgin brand is just what the bank needs,' he said. 'Of course,
you do realise you're going to need literally billions of
pounds?'
'Ohh, yes,' I said. And I thought to
myself: Billions? Did he really say
billions?
'I'm confident that can be arranged,'
I said. Well, of course he said billions. He was a
bank.
'I fully understand,' I said, and by
then, with sweat beading my brow, I really did.
The bank's position had become public
at 8.30 p.m. on Thursday 13 September 2007, when the BBC reported
that Northern Rock had asked for and been given emergency financial
support from the Bank of England. The funding facility was
finalised in the early hours and announced to the London Stock
Exchange at 7 a.m. Within hours of opening, long queues began to
form outside Northern Rock branches across the UK. The website
collapsed and its phone lines were jammed. This was shocking news:
the first run on a bank in the United Kingdom since Victorian
times.
There was a great deal to admire in
Northern Rock, and I wanted to protect and save what was good about
it. When the run on the bank began I watched the television
pictures of the queues along with everybody else. Now, the queues
were undeniably disturbing, they were the story. But being in the
businesses I'm in, it won't come as any surprise that I also had my
eye on the front of those queues, where Northern Rock spokespeople
were trying to reassure some very worried customers. I admired the
way the staff turned out at the branches and dealt with people as
they demanded their money back. They stood right in the front line,
calmly advising customers. I heard from inside that everyone had
come in to help – it was all hands to the pumps.
The bank had weaknesses: yes, they
had got themselves and their customers into a whole heap of trouble
by borrowing short in the money markets for long-term mortgages.
But hindsight is easy: the bank had been popular with
intermediaries – the financial advisers who recommended the bank's
mortgages – and they had very modern systems in place. It was an
engine that was fine in its way – but too hungry for the road it
was on. It had run out of petrol. Our job was to see how it could
be made to work again on a more environmentally benign fuel than
the short-term money markets.
First of all, we needed to put
together a winning team. While much of the media interest was to
focus on me personally in the coming months, it won't surprise you
to learn that I've neither the time nor the skills to run a bank.
As far as the rescue team – a formidable group of people led by
Jayne-Anne Gadhia, the head of Virgin Money – saw things I was very
much in the background. Each evening I would ring Jayne-Anne for a
catch-up, and to see if there was anything I could do.
Stephen Murphy appointed James Lupton
of Greenhill to help us in London, along with Peter Norris's firm
Quayle Munro, and Andrew Balheimer of top law firm Allen &
Overy – we had the makings of our team. We needed to know how to
deal with a company the size and scale of Northern Rock. 'Do you
really think we can get this?' Their answer was that if we could
secure the funding, then it was made for us. But only if we could
get funding.
So I was given the task of drumming
up support for our equity consortium. One of our team dubbed it
'dialling for dollars' – and certainly I was able to use some
top-flight contacts to pull people on board. I also made a number
of more personal calls to ensure there would be goodwill towards a
private rescue bid – I was given the green light at the highest
level.
We built up a business plan to
explain how we would turn Northern Rock into the Virgin Bank. (I
had toyed with the idea of calling it Virgin Rocks, doffing the cap
to our rock-music origins; Jayne-Anne gently but firmly dissuaded
me.) My first port of call was AIG, the insurance group who sponsor
Manchester United Football Club. They were very keen to support us.
It was a flying start. We went on a roadshow, presenting our plans
to the big global banks. Our longstanding relationship with the
Royal Bank of Scotland paid dividends – they requested that we deal
with them, and their partners, Citigroup and Deutsche Bank,
exclusively. This was a brilliant boost for us. We now had in place
a possible investment of £11 billion (yes, billion!)
On Friday 12 October 2007, we
unveiled our consortium of heavyweight financial backers. Our team
included Wilbur Ross, the veteran distressed debt investor; AIG,
the world's largest insurance company; First Eastern Investment,
led by Victor Chu; and Toscafund, the hedge fund led by Martin
Hughes and chaired by Sir George Mathewson. (Sir George, the former
chief executive of the Royal Bank of Scotland, was very kindly
acting as our senior adviser while we looked for a
chairman.)
The Virgin team went to Freshfields,
the London law firm, for an initial meeting with the Northern Rock
management team, when Adam Applegarth, the beleaguered chief
executive, was still in situ. Jayne-Anne told me later that she had
been hugely impressed with the Northern Rock team's willingness to
divulge information, and with their diligence in trying to sort out
the mess. Following this meeting, Northern Rock opened their data
room to the Virgin team.
But now there were other competitors
eyeing up the bank. Investment firms Olivant, Cerberus, JC Flowers
and Five Mile were all up against our plan. It appeared that this
was going to be a competitive bid and, given the credit crunch, the
battle for funding was likely to be fierce.
It was clear to us all that we needed
a credible senior figure to pull the project together. So
Jayne-Anne allotted me the task of persuading Sir Brian Pitman –
the leading banker of his generation and a man of huge knowledge –
to become our chairman.
I had worked with Sir Brian for years
on the board of Virgin Atlantic and through our connection with
Singapore Airlines. I like and admire him. At seventy-six, his
brain is as sharp and focused as ever. He is on the board of
Carphone Warehouse, and ITV, and is a senior adviser to Morgan
Stanley. Stephen and Jayne-Anne had spoken and met with him several
times as we refined our proposal. He was extremely reluctant to get
involved and told me it would be difficult to turn the bank
around.
But I pestered him and he eventually
relented. He would, at least, hear us out.
Jayne-Anne went down to his home in
Weybridge to give a two-hour presentation. He saw enough to realise
our bid was credible. He understood, too, that it required a man of
his gravitas to shape it. He made some welcome suggestions to the
plan, and came up to London a couple of days later to meet the
team. But he still wasn't saying yes.
The pressure on us grew. Lee
Rochford, Royal Bank of Scotland's Managing Director of Financial
Institutions Securitisation (I wonder how he describes himself at
parties?) phoned to say that in order to support us they needed to
be assured that we would have a suitably qualified chairman. So
Jayne-Anne called Sir Brian in Surrey asking him once again to
consider. Finally, he agreed. It was a coup. Jayne-Anne phoned Lee
to reveal the name. He was delighted: 'That's fantastic
news.'
Sir Brian attended all our key
meetings – including sessions at the Bank of England, the UK's
Financial Services Authority and the Treasury – and he was by far
the most distinguished and experienced of all the senior bankers
who attended these sessions. Our credibility was
established.
In the face of the credit crunch and
the sub-prime problems in the United States, our recession planning
needed to be faultless. First of all, it had to satisfy the
regulators. Our bid chairman was a stickler on that. This was the
question we had to ask ourselves, if we were to protect the
downside: 'What would happen in the worst-case scenario, in which
the housing market in the UK goes into a deep
recession?'
The question Sir Brian was posing was
a poignant one, as well as a practical one. Once, when Jayne-Anne
asked him why he had agreed to join us, he said there were a number
of reasons – but one was that he remembered how Northern Rock had
looked after miners' families during the strikes of the 1980s.
Apparently they stopped asking for mortgage payments while the
strike was on, and risked lots of bad debt. But they lost nothing,
and the miners and their families kept their homes. Sir Brian said
that a business with such an honourable history deserved to be
rescued.
Our plan was to inject £1.25 billion
of new cash plus Virgin Money as a business. The cash would have
come from Virgin, Wilbur Ross, Toscafund and First Eastern, and the
plan was to allow the existing shareholders to participate in a
rights issue that would enable them, on very preferential terms, to
recoup their investment over the coming years.
Unfortunately, it had still to dawn
on Northern Rock's shareholders what a bad state their bank was in.
Their general feeling was that ours was a poor offer. It wasn't, as
became all too clear. We really were being about as generous as we
could possibly be – especially given the need to introduce so much
new capital to satisfy the regulator's requirements. (Of course, I
don't blame the shareholders: as I said earlier, hindsight is
easy.)
Two leading hedge funds made it clear
to the government that they would vote against the Virgin deal and
force nationalisation if the government chose us over their own
rescue plan. I feel that kind of rhetoric began to force the prime
minister's hand; despite the need for a quick deal, the government
couldn't be seen to support us and have the shareholders vote
against us. The process was going to be a long-drawn-out one, but
we were all set up to work it through.
We reported that without an injection
of new capital of £1.25 billion, Northern Rock bank would not be
able to withstand a recession of the magnitude of the early 1990s.
We disclosed our reasoning and our figures to the FSA and they
appeared very happy with our work and prudent assumptions. Indeed,
this is my answer to those who suggested that I was only in all
this to mug the British taxpayer of billions of pounds at little
risk to my own business. Sir Brian explained this to me in stark
figures several times. 'We have got to lose
£1.6 billion in total as the consortium before the taxpayer loses
anything.'
Nevertheless, we were confident. Our
plan showed that we could repay all the debts by 2010. By early
2009, according to our figures, Virgin Bank would have lost £300
million; it would break even by 2010, and grow after 2011. This was
an enormous risk for all of our equity providers, and for me
personally. Virgin's normal rate of return in business is around 30
per cent. The returns here would be about half that – but applied
to huge figures. I was entering alien territory. Stephen and Gordon
talked me through the process and we weighed up the risk to the
group. We all agreed we would press on.
We had to do many presentations to
our equity consortium to keep them with us. Late in the day
Jayne-Anne presented to Martin Hughes of Toscafund. Given the
increasing cost of funding, she wondered if we would need to make
people redundant. Martin was adamant that we should carry the cost
of excess staff until the business was thriving again – he just
didn't want the spectre of job losses to mar our bank. Like most
really successful people I've met, Martin was more interested in
doing the right and proper thing than the easy and expedient
one.
Every night at 6 p.m. the Virgin team
hooked up for a conference call led by Stephen and Gordon. It was
our opportunity to catch up with each other and agree the next
steps. Ours was a collegiate approach, using the wisdom of seasoned
banking professionals, each of them a veteran of a significant
merger deal. No one else had this treasure chest of knowledge, and
I was extremely proud that the Virgin name could attract such
top-notch people. In business, this kind of team support is in
surprisingly short supply.
Wilbur Ross was a hard taskmaster.
Jayne-Anne sat up till the small hours on a number of occasions as
he stress-tested her on all the downside scenarios. My business
view is always to protect the downside – and this was one of
Virgin's biggest ever gambles. Wilbur was much more interested in
how much he could lose, rather than how much he could gain. In
major bids like this, involving billions of pounds, success comes
from identifying the downside – and covering it – far more than
planning for the upside. Wilbur wanted to make sure that we were
prepared for every eventuality. He became convinced that we were.
Sir Brian, the FSA and the Bank of England agreed, and declared us
their preferred bidder.
The hedge-fund investors – who had
been betting on the share price – were livid at the prospect of us
taking over. As we approached Christmas, the credit squeeze was
getting tighter and tighter. All over the City, major banks were
announcing problems caused by a lack of liquidity. While our lines
of funding with RBS and their partners were still open, the cost of
that funding was getting more expensive. We began to look at our
numbers and we all agreed it was becoming too expensive to borrow.
It was starting to look unattractive for us – and we considered
withdrawing. It was then that the Bank of England and the
government stepped in and offered support by suggesting 'wrapped
sovereign bonds'. These were bonds or gilts issued by the
government and paid for at a commercial price. All of the bidders
would have access to this funding, and so the merits of each
proposal could at last be considered with a degree of
objectivity.
This would certainly ease the
pressure on us, because we knew our bid was already in very good
shape.
True, we would as a consequence face
stringent European Union restrictions on fair trading. If we were
getting government-backed bonds, this would give us an advantage
over commercial banks, and we would have to be restricted when
competing with them, until we'd paid these loans back. This was
only fair, and we had no problem with it. The government said that
there would be no dividends until the UK taxpayer was paid back.
This, too, was only reasonable: Virgin would have repaid the money
back to the taxpayer before we took anything.
The Virgin team were interested and
waiting for a term sheet to come out from Goldman Sachs just as I
was heading out to China on a high-level business trip with senior
British business figures and Gordon Brown, the prime
minister.
We were delayed in leaving because of
the emergency landing of British Airways' Boeing 777 at Heathrow.
They had lost power in both engines as they descended, and through
the immense skill of the pilot the plane had crash-landed on the
grass before the runway saving everybody on board. I've had my
run-ins with BA over many years but you have to hand it to them:
they employ first-rate flight crews. The atmosphere on our flight
was one of quiet elation, the surroundings reminding us of the
life-saving efforts of the 777's captain and first
officer.
When we arrived in Beijing, I phoned
Jayne-Anne asking if the Goldman Sachs package had come in
yet.
'Yes, it's just come
through.'
'Good,' I said.
'What's been happening on the
flight?'
'What do you mean?'
'It's all over the news that you and
Gordon Brown have been having private talks about Northern
Rock.'
'Ha ha.'
'No. Not "ha ha". What are you up
to?'
There was a long pause.
'Jayne-Anne, please tell me you're
joking about this.'
'It's on the news now,' she
said.
There were forty journalists at the
back of the plane, and one of the rival consortium's PR advisers.
Gordon Brown had passed through the plane to talk to them, pausing
to tell me what he then told them: that he'd be issuing the Goldman
Sachs term sheet to all the bidders within the next twenty-four
hours.
That was it. Nothing else. At any
time. Never mind in front of forty journalists and a pack of
hedge-fund managers who wanted me out of the picture!
Yet the entire China trip was to be
coloured in the British media by a supposed 'sweetheart deal'
between me and Gordon Brown. The herd instinct of the British media
did lasting damage to our chances. There were even cartoons of
Gordon Brown being in my pocket – and I being in his. Whether it
was malicious or simple over-exuberance, I'll never know. We were
told that the prime minister and the Treasury still favoured a
private sector deal, but I think the whole Chinese episode must
have influenced his team's eventual thinking.
The media played a major role, even
beyond the China trip, in the whole evolution of the Northern Rock
story. During the crisis, Bryan Sanderson, now Northern Rock
chairman (after Matt Ridley's resignation), told Jayne-Anne that
every paper had a journalist dedicated to the story and that they
were being told to come up with a new story every day – that made
for too fertile a field of gossip!
The Treasury didn't help matters when
it started negotiating in the press, too. John Kingman, the civil
service power broker in the Treasury charged with running the show,
actually told our team that, in any decision made, the government
would have to take account of the view of Robert Peston, the BBC's
business editor. Now Robert is a very likeable guy and a good
journalist, but we thought it was odd that he often had information
about our proposal before we were told!
The most bizarre coverage for
Jayne-Anne followed an early-evening call she had with Kathryn
Griffiths at the Daily Telegraph. Like
everyone else, Griffiths wanted to know how much Virgin would earn
out of brand licence fees. She was told that it would be an
arm's-length amount similar to that charged at other companies –
including Virgin Media. That meant about 1 per cent of income –
which, given the problems with Northern Rock, amounted to very
little each year for years to come. Next morning the Telegraph Business-page headline screamed:
'BRANSON TO MAKE £200 MILLION FROM FEES
FOR ROCK'. Our press team
asked them how they had concocted this figure, and were told it was
calculated over twenty-five years! It all contributed to the idea
that I was trying to make a fast buck. When Jayne-Anne later went
to Newcastle and talked through the numbers with the Northern Rock
management team, David Jones, the finance director, asked why we
had excluded the licence fee for using the Virgin brand. But we
hadn't! He just couldn't believe the amount was so tiny as to be
irrelevant. Even Sir Brian, in his interview with the Financial Times in early February, stressed the
returns would be unexciting and that nobody 'will make a
killing'.
He went on to say: 'We've satisfied
ourselves that with the capital we are putting in we'd have enough
pure equity in this thing that, if the worst came to the worst, the
shareholders would lose money, not the taxpayer.' Yet the whole
Branson–Brown 'sweetheart deal' notion began to grow arm and legs.
It even reached Prime Minister's Questions in the House of Commons
on Wednesday 23 January.
David Cameron, the leader of the
Conservative Opposition, asked Gordon Brown about the taxpayers'
exposure under the prime minister's bond scheme. It became part of
a political boxing match between a new prime minister on the ropes
and an Opposition leader determined to throw some mischievous
punches.
'Let us be clear: the rescue package
is as much for his reputation as it is for the business. If the
bonds are not paid back, and if Northern Rock fails to meet its
obligations, what is the total exposure? How much?'
'The loans and bonds are secured
against the assets of Northern Rock, which, as everyone
understands, has a high-quality loan book. It is our intention to
get the best deal for taxpayers: they will get their money back,
and make a profit,' said the prime minister.
Cameron then claimed the figure was
£55 billion – a neat rhetorical trick, achieved by lumbering every
household in the country with a hypothetical second
mortgage!
If the press around that China trip
was extremely damaging to our bid (and it was) so was the political
point-scoring in Parliament. The Liberal Democrats were
particularly aggressive, hiding behind parliamentary privilege to
insult and belittle us.
Vince Cable, the MP for Twickenham
and deputy leader of the Liberal Democrats, sounds an amusing guy
and he's been an excellent performer in the House of Commons. His
sound bites have enlivened proceedings in the British Parliament,
but then, in the House of Commons, libel laws don't apply: he can
say pretty much what he wants to.
And he did: 'Can the Chancellor tell
us what Mr Branson is going to contribute? My understanding is that
he is proposing to put in £250 million in kind, not cash, to
acquire a bank worth £100 billion, or forty times that value.' A
bank worth £100 billion!? If so, it certainly wouldn't have been in
trouble.
Being able to come out with this sort
of thing unchallenged clearly went to his head, because he went on
to claim that I had been involved with this 'sweetheart deal' with
the government. He talked about 'nationalising the risk, and
privatising the profit'. Then he cast aspersions on me personally
saying that I was not a fit person to run a bank – and that I had a
criminal record gained when I was nineteen. This was untrue, of
course, and the only reason he knew of my stupidity was because I'd
chosen to be open about the story in Losing My
Virginity some forty years after it had happened. I do hope
he paid the full cover price for his copy.
I appealed to Nick Clegg, the new
leader of the Liberal Democrats, asking that they depersonalise the
campaign. Sir Brian Pitman and Jayne-Anne Gadhia offered to meet
Vince Cable – but he refused to see them, insisting on meeting
me.
On Monday 4 February, the
announcement of Olivant's withdrawal piled more political pressure
on chancellor Alistair Darling. His hope for a bidding war between
Virgin and Luqman Arnold's private equity group simply fizzled out.
The Financial Times headline summed it
up – 'OLIVANT ABANDONS
ROCK AT 11TH HOUR' – and he was
reported to be 'stunned'. Olivant's proposal had attracted the
support of Northern Rock shareholders including SRM and RAB, the
hedge-fund investors, who had amassed 18 per cent of the bank. They
were opposed to the Virgin deal because they simply weren't going
to get as much out of it.
At the very last minute, we were
asked to increase our government guarantees and add an extra
£100–200 million for equity warrants. This was stretching it for
us, and in the same week I came across a lot of comments that we
were 'getting the bank on the cheap' and 'benefiting from the
upside, without taking downside'. This was news to me.
Indeed, towards the end of the whole
process, Stephen Murphy spoke to Wilbur Ross who made it clear that
as the government were seeking to tighten all the terms, the risks
in the deal were getting more substantial while the returns were
now becoming marginal. Wilbur warned that he could not accept any
further reduction given his responsibilities to his investors. We
had to respect this as Wilbur is a hugely experienced investor in
international markets, and he and Tosca were our key investor
partners. The government was (rightly) seeking a massive amount of
new capital to protect the UK taxpayer, but wasn't recognising that
this has to be rewarded for the risks involved. That position was
never going to work.
In the end, I think the very thought
of a business – despite taking the risks – eventually making a
return on its investment threw Gordon Brown and his beleaguered
Chancellor of the Exchequer into a panic.
The prime minister took the decision
to nationalise the Northern Rock bank at 2 p.m. in Downing Street,
after he and Alistair Darling concluded there was no other option.
Their announcement was not diplomatically handled. Our only
surviving rivals for the bid, Northern Rock's own internal
management team, were still answering questions about their rescue
plan when Gordon Brown declared his decision.
After our disappointment I received a
cordial phone call from Gordon Brown, requesting that I didn't make
too much noise and nuisance about the decision. He told me that
nationalisation was the right option. In the back of my mind I
couldn't help but wonder whether the UK's press hysteria about me
being on a trip to China with the prime minister had put the kibosh
on our chances. Still, I did as I had been asked: I didn't make a
fuss. I issued a statement saying we had submitted as strong a
proposal as we could, and that I was 'very disappointed'. And I was
certainly disappointed enough to feel I deserved those drinks at
the Biras Creek bar that night.
On reflection, the whole Northern
Rock saga represents to me a case of the government looking for the
most politically expedient solution and not planning for the long
term. Virgin, as a private company, had been willing to take
Northern Rock off the government's hands and make it work again. We
could have developed a brilliant bank, the Virgin Bank, out of it,
and I am confident we would have generated new jobs by doing so. As
it is, the Labour government will be forced to shrink the company
quickly, cut the jobs and get the money back to limit any political
fallout. There isn't much innovation or product development in this
route and certainly not more competition in the banking market –
and the poor old taxpayer gets all the downside risk.
But governments and civil servants
can't run businesses – that's been proven a depressing number of
times all over the world, and for years in the UK we had daily
experience of their ineptitude every time we boarded (or weren't
able to board) what they laughingly called a 'train'. Business is
not in their make-up. To be fair, it's not their job, any more than
running a bank single-handedly would ever be mine.
And that, of course, is the point:
I was never going to run the bank. I
know my limitations. I know what I'm good at, and what I'm not good
at. I would never pretend that I could run a bank – and that's why
we built a credible banking team. Jayne-Anne Gadhia of Virgin
Money, Gordon McCallum and Stephen Murphy of Virgin Management, Sir
Brian Pitman, Sir George Mathewson, Wilbur Ross, an immensely
successful US investor in difficult turnarounds, and advisers such
as James Lupton and Peter Norris. We had assembled a formidable
team of serious bankers and investors and in the end we were the
only real show in town. Our lawyers had a better understanding of
the company's legal position than the company's or government's own
advisers, while James, Peter and their teams ran rings around their
opposition. My vision was to make it possible that the bank could
be saved, by finding really good people to run it.
Nationalising Northern Rock? I think
it was the wrong decision which will haunt not only this government
but whoever is elected to hold the reins of power in Britain for
years to come.
I spent the day after nursing my poor
head. The press cuttings were filtering through and we received a
number of emails and calls from well-wishers. The Chancellor sent
me a note thanking me for Virgin's interest and our offer but
reiterating that nationalisation was the best option for the
bank.
I couldn't and can't agree with that,
and it saddens me to think of all the good work that's been
undervalued, and all the opportunities that have been
lost.
Inasmuch as it was in me to feel
anything that day – aside from the throbbing in my head – I felt,
and I still feel, a great deal of sympathy for the people working
within Northern Rock. The staff were tremendously decent people
caught in the middle of a public nightmare. They worked every hour,
every day of the week, for many months, and they remained upbeat.
I'm positive they would have enjoyed being part of the wider Virgin
family.
And Jayne-Anne's own team played a
blinder too. Virgin Money's finance director, Dave Dyer, and its
strategy director, Matt Baxby, worked with total commitment. They
more than embodied the Virgin spirit and put a great many personal
and family matters on hold while we aimed for the
prize.
Jayne-Anne phoned me on the Tuesday
after the announcement. I was worried about her. She had been a
stalwart, driving the process for us, plus she and her husband
Ashok had a five-year-old daughter to look after. Jayne-Anne had
spent a hell of a lot of time away from home, her weekends were
taken up with some hefty reading of reports and number crunching,
and most nights she worked long past midnight. I thought she might
be very let down.
'I hope you're not standing on top of
a building and about to jump,' I said.
'Oh, don't worry, Richard,' she said
chirpily, 'I've spent the weekend looking over the figures of
Bradford & Bingley and Alliance & Leicester.'
My head began to throb again. A lot.
'For heaven's sake, why?'
'They both look ripe for a takeover.
Listen . . .'
That was the kind of spirit that
cheered me up. At Virgin, we move on.
What if you can't move on? What if
there is nowhere to move to?
Assuming you're not burning other
people's money in their faces, you could always perform the hardest
trick in the book of business tricks: get very small, very
specialised and very expensive.
I would absolutely count this as
innovation, and of the highest calibre: you're taking a large
operation and finding ways to scale it down, retarget it and
remarket it, all the while adding bucketloads of value to justify
the hike in price. And it's very hard to do – not least because
you're in so much pain as you're doing it. (Indeed, your old
business is dying around you.)
What is the first thing we do at
Virgin when we're faced with a problem? We get together promptly to
look for the answer to a single question: 'Is there a way out?' And
we then go right to the endgame and ask: 'What is the ideal way out
of this problem for everyone?'
You need to become 100 per cent
focused on trying to find that way out. If it's a major problem,
give it 100 per cent of your time and energy until it is sorted.
Work night and day to resolve it, and try to delegate everything
else that is going on. If, having done this, you fail to resolve
the problem, then at least you know you've done everything in your
power you can. Move on. If it means taking a hit, then take it on
the chin. Don't even think about it again. If
you're hurt, lick your wounds and get up again. If you've given it
your absolute best, it's time to move forward.
As I write this the economy is
deteriorating; it may be that some of you will be faced with this
task in the near future. Good luck. And may the next chapter, which
is all about innovation, give you some serviceable
ideas.